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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released what it considered an outlook for a slightly above-average hurricane season, which means 10 to 16 named storms, of which five to nine are expected to reach hurricane status.

Scientists are predicting this year's hurricane season may be the deadliest yet, beating last year's 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and six major hurricanes.

"The NHC forecast cone provides some information about where the center of the storm is likely to move based on our track forecast errors over the past five years", according to Michael Brennan, senior hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center.

Both outlooks call for significantly less activity than previous year, when a devastating season produced 10 hurricanes, including two Category 5 killers that generated winds of 175 miles per hour or more.

There are nearly 7 million coastal homes facing more than $1.6 trillion in potential storm-surge reconstruction expenses this year, representing a 6.6% cost increase from last year's hurricane season.

CSU anticipates a near-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean.

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already begun - it started May 15 and also lasts until the end of November.

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With Irma bearing down on Florida at one point as a Category 5 hurricane threatening a 15-foot storm surge, the state experienced one of the largest evacuations in American history.

The impact from Hurricane Irma on Lee County last September was dramatic and swift, leaving thousands without power and many without homes.

It's important to take these seasonal forecasts with a grain of salt as there is no skill or ability to know how many, if any, of those storms will make landfall along the Gulf Coast that would affect Southwest Louisiana. "There is a general interest in knowing what the odds are for an active or inactive season".

In case residents need more reason to pay attention to weather forecasts, Pfaff notes that the area historically averages one major storm every 21 years - and is now 22 years removed from Fran, its last such storm. He believes that there will be eight hurricanes and four of those will be major hurricanes.

This year, another familiar name will not be part of the group: Sandy.

"We have decreased our forecast and now believe that 2018 will have approximately average activity", the team said. When it lies closer to the mainland, tropical systems can be steered into the Mid Atlantic. When it comes to intensity, a hurricane's strength is based on Atlantic Ocean temperature and wind shear. "We have so many new residents that we forgot past lessons", he said.


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