Tropical Depression Fourteen formed overnight south of Cancun, Mexico.
A Tropical Storm Warnings is in effect for. It is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm by Sunday night. "Rainfall of 3-7" is possible in western Cuba, with 2-4" of rainfall possible on the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and Honduras. Western Cuba could see isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches, the center said.
The 11PM update from the National Hurricane Center shows little change in the forecast path for Potential Tropical Cyclone 14. So far, it is forecast to make landfall somewhere between the MS coast and the Big Bend in Florida.
There is still a lot of uncertainty with the strength and timing with this system. It will however bring an increase of tropical moisture, bringing higher rain chances and a return of summer-like humidity to the area by the middle of the week. Leslie is now located about 455 miles east of Bermuda. It will continue to move off to the east, away from the U.S. These large swells will continue on Sunday.
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Maximum sustained winds are near 30 miles per hour (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The minimum central pressure is 987 mb.
The National Hurricane Center is now considered about two main hazards: wind and rainfall. A turn toward the north is expected later today, with that motion at a faster forward speed continuing through early Wednesday. The low, called Invest 91-L for now, has a good chance of developing into our next named tropical system.
The low pressure center over Oklahoma that helped to provide scattered showers on Saturday, will travel north along the frontal boundary into IL on Sunday. The 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season doesn't officially end until November 30.